SAGE
  • Home
  • About
    • SAGE Expertise
  • Adaptive Framework
    • Technical Report
    • Practitioners Guide
  • Publications
    • Webinars
    • Presentations
    • Blog
  • Case Studies
  • Network Meetings
  • Boston Short Course
  • Lab N' Lunch
  • Resiliency Articles and Links
    • Useful Definitions

Allowances for evolving coastal flood risk under uncertain local sea-level rise

6/9/2016

0 Comments

 
 SAGE member Maya Buchanan's article Allowances for evolving coastal flood risk under uncertain local sea-level rise is now online.  

Abstract:  "
Estimates of future flood hazards made under the assumption of stationary mean sea level are biased low due to sea-level rise (SLR). However, adjustments to flood return levels made assuming fixed increases of sea level are also inadequate when applied to sea level that is rising over time at an uncertain rate. SLR allowances—the height adjustment from historic flood levels that maintain under uncertainty the annual expected probability of flooding—are typically estimated independently of individual decision-makers’ preferences, such as time horizon, risk tolerance, and confidence in SLR projections. We provide a framework of SLR allowances that employs complete probability distributions of local SLR and a range of user-defined flood risk management preferences. Given non-stationary and uncertain sea-level rise, these metrics provide estimates of flood protection heights and offsets for different planning horizons in coastal areas. We illustrate the calculation of various allowance types for a set of long-duration tide gauges along U.S. coastlines."
0 Comments



Leave a Reply.

    Archives

    May 2019
    April 2019
    October 2018
    September 2018
    August 2018
    July 2018
    June 2018
    May 2018
    April 2018
    March 2018
    February 2018
    January 2018
    December 2017
    November 2017
    October 2017
    September 2017
    August 2017
    July 2017
    June 2017
    May 2017
    April 2017
    February 2017
    January 2017
    December 2016
    November 2016
    October 2016
    September 2016
    July 2016
    June 2016
    April 2016
    March 2016
    February 2016
    January 2016
    December 2015
    November 2015
    October 2015
    September 2015
    August 2015
    July 2015
    June 2015
    May 2015
    February 2015
    January 2015
    December 2014
    November 2014

    RSS Feed

  • Home
  • About
    • SAGE Expertise
  • Adaptive Framework
    • Technical Report
    • Practitioners Guide
  • Publications
    • Webinars
    • Presentations
    • Blog
  • Case Studies
  • Network Meetings
  • Boston Short Course
  • Lab N' Lunch
  • Resiliency Articles and Links
    • Useful Definitions